Do constraints cluster? Neighbours are alike. Across 339 Bolivian municipalities, global Moran’s I is 0.57 for PC1, summarizing nutrition, educational inequality and language measures, and 0.39 for PC2, summarizing secondary-school dropout. Both components are reported to show significant spatial similarity; no confidence intervals or numerical global p-values are reported. Positive similarity is an association, not a causal effect. Source: Economía (2021), section 5.2; indicators come from 2012, 2016 and 2017.
Do constraints cluster? Neighbours are alike. Across 339 Bolivian municipalities, global Moran’s I is 0.57 for PC1, summarizing nutrition, educational inequality and language measures, and 0.39 for PC2, summarizing secondary-school dropout. Both components are reported to show significant spatial similarity; no confidence intervals or numerical global p-values are reported. Positive similarity is an association, not a causal effect. Source: Economía (2021), section 5.2; indicators come from 2012, 2016 and 2017.

Human Capital Constraints, Spatial Dependence, and Regionalization in Bolivia: A Spatial Clustering Approach

Abstract

Using a novel dataset, this article studies the spatial distribution of human capital constraints across 339 municipalities in Bolivia. In particular, five human capital constraints are evaluated: chronic malnutrition in children, non-Spanish speaking population, secondary dropout rate of males, secondary dropout rates of females, and inequality in years of education. Through the lens of principal components, spatial dependence, and regionalization methods, the municipalities are endogenously classified according to their similarity in human capital constraints and geographical location. Results from the spatial dependence analysis indicate the specific location of significant hot spots (high-value clusters) and cold spots (low-value clusters). A Regionalization analysis of the constraints indicates that Bolivia can be regionalized into seven or eight geographical regions. The article concludes discussing the potential complementary of these two analyses and their usefulness in identifying the location of policy priorities.

Publication
Economía
Carlos Mendez
Carlos Mendez
Associate Professor of Development Economics

My research interests focus on the integration of development economics, spatial data science, and econometrics to better understand and inform the process of sustainable development across regions.

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